Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 228.988993 278.346684 341.285879 429.811399 555.321668 7.342094e+02 1023.935659
2025-01-05 162.139606 213.865538 288.838423 412.633653 629.223965 1.037101e+03 2028.214776
2025-01-12 133.109851 184.601257 265.575932 414.867416 721.355175 1.458090e+03 4264.402887
2025-01-19 113.118077 162.293068 244.130583 407.705136 788.809492 1.928833e+03 9266.471707
2025-01-26 104.988741 156.314183 247.301648 447.211272 993.795588 3.243420e+03 51322.296746
2025-02-02 101.952372 157.838015 263.911612 523.582070 1391.985318 7.278140e+03 NaN
2025-02-09 91.832074 144.764399 248.524909 516.461400 1514.748089 1.097177e+04 NaN
2025-02-16 85.001197 136.566378 241.176930 527.611389 1738.447696 2.037585e+04 NaN
2025-02-23 78.661111 128.298972 231.813585 529.318042 1934.936665 3.987282e+04 NaN
2025-03-02 73.734780 122.070853 225.689234 538.697957 2208.939543 1.112336e+05 NaN
2025-03-09 69.460465 116.558431 220.104194 547.883512 2524.061732 6.391558e+05 NaN
2025-03-16 64.566685 109.199455 208.786283 532.973547 2643.782828 8.606430e+06 NaN
2025-03-23 62.787402 108.524261 214.892488 590.285195 3702.983107 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 57.756034 100.421022 200.784334 563.185782 3800.847667 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 54.455202 95.667185 194.578832 566.674621 4395.623422 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 51.062095 90.330207 185.861169 555.499258 4774.515482 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 50.184286 90.450766 192.088474 617.635853 7338.757959 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 50.542456 93.410914 207.214288 741.103067 16002.317477 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 47.842226 88.896419 199.081712 729.408608 18568.881251 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 45.971965 86.170695 196.008741 747.736920 25935.929174 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 43.987266 82.974179 190.901478 750.550310 33957.181785 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 42.374739 80.533360 187.822776 766.050734 50516.582266 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 40.878784 78.240638 184.850553 781.291723 80297.519229 NaN NaN